04
And Then There Were Two: NLDS Predictions
Filed Under (Command Center, NL East Chatter) by Chris Comando on 04-10-2010
Tagged Under : Atlanta Braves, Bobby Cox, Chase Utley, Cincinnati Reds, Cole Hamels, Derek Lowe, Philadelphia Phillies, Roy Halladay, Roy Oswalt, Ryan Howard, San Francisco Giants, Tim Lincecum
While the Marlins, Mets, and Nationals hit the golf course and start to make their plans for 2011, the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves will be playing in the postseason. The Phillies comfortably took the NL East, and it took the Braves until Day 162 to earn a playoff berth, but both will be battling to reach the World Series.
So what are their chances? Here is my take on Round 1.
Phillies vs. Reds
The Phillies have the home field advantage against the NL Central Champion Cincinnati Reds. The Phillies are clearly the better team, and to me, the question isn’t if the Phils will win this series, but rather how many games it will take.
The Phillies battled through injuries throughout the 2010 season. Now they are healthy, and thanks to clinching the division title early, they were able to set up their pitching rotation. With the Roys (Halladay & Oswalt) and Cole Hamels pitching the first three games, the Reds will have their hands full. The Reds had the chance to set up their rotation as well, but with three righties (Volquez, Arroyo, & Cueto) facing Utley, Howard, and company, Cincinnati’s pitchers will have their hands full.
So, will the Reds take a game? The Command Center says…..no.
Prediction: Phillies in 3.
Braves vs. Giants
Both the Braves and Giants stamped their tickets to the playoffs on the season’s final day. Both teams are also built on pitching. Will one team’s staff let them down? Will one offense catch fire at the right time?
The Giants will throw out “The Freak,” Tim Lincecum, against Atlanta’s Derek Lowe in Game 1 on Thursday night. Every game is important in a short series, but the winner of the first game of this showdown will have a huge leg up on their opponent. A Giants win, and San Fran will be feeling good and looking to go on a roll with Cain & Sanchez to follow. If the Braves can defeat San Fran’s ace, it could be a major blow to the Giants’ psyche and a big momentum swing in Atlanta’s favor.
I expect a bunch of low scoring games and teams looking to scratch and claw to put runs on the board. Will the Braves rally behind their skipper and extend Bobby Cox’s managing career one more series? I could see this series going either way, but the Command Center can only declare one winner.
Prediction: Giants in 5.
Did the Command Center get these right? There’s only one way to find out. Play Ball!
Dickey’s knuckleball baffled the Phillies hitters all night long, and as he cruised through five hitless innings, Mets fans wondered if this might be the first no-hitter in franchise history.  But it was the opposing pitcher that spoiled that bid as Hamels hit a clean single to right field with one out in the sixth inning.  Meanwhile, Hamels kept the Mets off balance and off of the scoreboard. It looked like the Mets had taken a 1-0 lead in the fifth inning when Mike Hessman hit a drive to left field that the umpires called a home run. However, after a lengthy replay review, the umps ruled fan interference on the play and placed Hessman on third base.  Despite being on third with no outs, the Mets stranded Hessman and let a golden opportunity slip by.
The Braves’ Tim Hudson and the Dodgers’  Hiroki Kuroda matched zeroes for six innings. The game’s lone run came in the seventh, when Brooks Conrad, playing third base in place of the injured Chipper Jones, homered to center field off of Kuroda. Â
The Nationals scored three runs in the first off of Arizona starter Joe Saunders (1-2), highlighted by a Ryan Zimmerman two-run single.  Wil Nieves extended Washington’s lead to 4-0 with a solo home run in the second. The D-Backs cut the Nats lead in half with two fifth inning runs off of starter John Lannan, but managed just one hit after that. Lannan (4-5) allowed just four hits over seven innings, striking out five.  Sean Burnett pitched two perfect innings, striking out four, to pick up his second save on the season.
The Reds jumped on Johnson in the first inning, scoring three runs courtesy of RBI singles by Joey Votto, Scott Rolen, and Jay Bruce. Bruce later homered as the Reds built a 7-0 lead.  The Marlins’ only offense came off of the bat of rookie Mike Stanton, who hit solo home runs in both the sixth and eighth innings.Â
Braves starter Tommy Hanson and Mets starter R.A. Dickey pitched well, with each allowing only two runs over the first six innings. The Mets threatened to break open a 2-2 tie in the sixth and put runners on second and third, but Bobby Cox called on reliever Eric O’Flaherty, who retired pinch hitter Jesus Feliciano on a ground ball to keep the Mets off of the scoreboard. Despite throwing over 100 pitches, Jerry Manuel left Dickey in to pitch the seventh inning. The knuckleballer retired the first two batters in the inning, but then allowed back-to-back home runs to Melky Cabrera and Omar Infante which gave the Braves a 4-2 lead.Â
The Reds jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the first inning off of Phils starter Joe Blanton, thanks to a three run homer from Jonny Gomes. The Reds scored three more runs off of Blanton over his 5 1/3 innings, and added another run in the top of the ninth to take a commanding 7-1 lead. Meanwhile, Reds starter Mike Leake was cruising, holding the Phillies at bay while helping out his own cause with three hits and an RBI. However, it all came apart in the bottom of the ninth.
Rookie phenom Stephen Strasburg allowed a leadoff home run to San Francisco’s Andres Torres in the first inning, but settled down after that.  The Nationals tied the game in the bottom of the first off of Giants starter Matt Cain, and took the lead in the fourth inning on an Adam Dunn solo homer. The Nats added two runs in the sixth and four more in the seventh, highlighted by a three run homer from Dunn. Dunn’s second blast put the nail in the coffin for Cain (6-8) and the Giants.
Marlins pitcher Ricky Nolasco and D-Backs starter Dan Haren each pitched into the seventh inning and did their best to keep their opponents off of the scoreboard. The Marlins broke through with two runs in the third on RBI singles from Dan Uggla and Cody Ross. After Arizona scored a run in the fourth, the Marlins got that run back in the seventh. Uggla’s RBI infield hit brought home Florida’s third run and ended the night for Haren (7-7). Arizona answered with a run off of Nolasco (9-6) in the bottom of the seventh, but couldn’t bring home the tying run. Â
Down 3-2 heading to the ninth inning, the Nationals rallied against Houston closer Matt Lindstrom with two outs and nobody on base. After a Michael Morse single, Willie Harris tripled to left field to tie the game, and Cristian Guzman followed with a single to give Washington a 4-3 lead. However, Matt Capps suffered his second blown save of the series. Guzman, a career infielder, was moved from shortstop to right field in the bottom of the eighth inning, and that move cost the Nats. With two outs and Michael Bourn on second, Guzman misplayed Lance Berkman’s line drive into a two-base error, allowing Bourn to score the tying run. Carlos Lee followed with a home run to left field to give the Astros a walk-off victory.Â
Johnson went seven innings, allowing just one run and striking out eight to improve to 6-2 on the season. The Marlins built a 3-0 lead off Brewers starter Chris Capuano, who was making his first start since 2007 in his return from Tommy John surgery. Catcher Ronny Paulino had two RBI, and Dan Uggla drove in one and scored two for Florida. Leo Nunez came on in the ninth inning to protect a 3-1 lead and made it interesting. Three straight singles with one out cut the lead to 3-2, but Nunez rebounded to retire Prince Fielder and strike out Corey Hart to earn his 12th save on the season.
Troy Glaus homered and drove two runs to lead the Braves offense. Starter Kris Medlen also got into the action with an RBI double in the sixth to extend Atlanta’s lead to 4-0. Medlen pitched into the eighth inning, leaving with one out and the bases loaded. Peter Moylan came in and allowed all three inherited runners to score to cut the Braves lead to 4-3. With closer Billy Wagner unavailable after appearing in four straight games, Takashi Saito was called on to try to seal the victory. Saito retired the first two batters and got ahead of Russell Martin 0 and 2 before departing with a hamstring injury. Jonny Venters threw one pitch and struck out Martin to earn his first major league save.


















